South Alabama Jaguars 57, App State Mountaineers 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: App State Mountaineers
App State Mountaineers defeated South Alabama Jaguars 60–57 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:13 swung win probability 44% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why South Alabama Jaguars lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 16 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 57 |
| App State Mountaineers | 8 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:13 swung win probability 44% → 91%.
Why South Alabama Jaguars lost
- Lost Q2 12-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 2:03 (win probability 15% → 59% for the home side).
- Shot 34.7% eFG vs a 46.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Alabama Jaguars | 8–0 | Q2 8:24 | 45% → 15% |
| App State Mountaineers | 11–0 | Q2 2:03 | 15% → 59% |
| App State Mountaineers | 11–0 | Q3 7:13 | 44% → 91% |