App State Mountaineers 49, Texas State Bobcats 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: Texas State Bobcats
Texas State Bobcats defeated App State Mountaineers 63–49 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:45 swung win probability 69% → 37%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 8 | 8 | 16 | 17 | 49 |
| Texas State Bobcats | 7 | 21 | 21 | 14 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:45 swung win probability 69% → 37%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q2 8-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 7:07 (win probability 80% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 42.3% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 19-14.
- Outscored 15-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 8–0 | Q1 1:45 | 69% → 37% |
| Texas State Bobcats | 13–0 | Q3 7:07 | 80% → 100% |