App State Mountaineers 54, Old Dominion Monarchs 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Old Dominion Monarchs
Old Dominion Monarchs defeated App State Mountaineers 65–54 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:12 swung win probability 78% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why App State Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 14 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 54 |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 12 | 15 | 20 | 18 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:12 swung win probability 78% → 45%.
Why App State Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q2 7-15 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 9:10 (win probability 64% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 34.3% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| App State Mountaineers | 9–0 | Q1 2:12 | 78% → 45% |
| Old Dominion Monarchs | 9–0 | Q3 9:10 | 64% → 94% |