Sacramento State Hornets 46, Northern Colorado Bears 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Northern Colorado Bears
Northern Colorado Bears defeated Sacramento State Hornets 68–46 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:23 swung win probability 54% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 7 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 46 |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 15 | 12 | 17 | 24 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:23 swung win probability 54% → 86%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost Q4 12-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 2:23 (win probability 54% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 38.0% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 27-17.
- Outscored 16-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 10–0 | Q1 2:23 | 54% → 86% |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 8–0 | Q4 8:04 | 94% → 100% |