Sacramento State Hornets 78, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Sacramento State Hornets
Sacramento State Hornets defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 78–59 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 19-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:42 swung win probability 65% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 11 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 78 |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 12 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:42 swung win probability 65% → 23%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost Q2 10-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 7:42 (win probability 65% → 23% for the home side).
- Shot 39.7% eFG vs a 45.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 10–0 | Q2 7:42 | 65% → 23% |