Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 48, Montana State Bobcats 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-02 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 68–48 on 2026-03-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:01 swung win probability 58% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 5 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 48 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 14 | 19 | 21 | 14 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:01 swung win probability 58% → 100%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost Q3 11-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 2:01 (win probability 58% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 32-16.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q2 9:20 | 69% → 93% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 11–0 | Q2 2:00 | 100% → 89% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 12–0 | Q3 7:22 | 96% → 58% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 17–0 | Q3 2:01 | 58% → 100% |