Montana State Bobcats 61, Sacramento State Hornets 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Sacramento State Hornets 61–54 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:51 swung win probability 32% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 18 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 61 |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 14 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:51 swung win probability 32% → 1%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost Q2 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 8:51 (win probability 32% → 1% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q4 8:51 | 32% → 1% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 10–0 | Q4 6:02 | 1% → 27% |