Sacramento State Hornets 31, Montana State Bobcats 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Sacramento State Hornets 66–31 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 35-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:10 swung win probability 72% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 31 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 26 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:10 swung win probability 72% → 94%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost Q1 6-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 4:10 (win probability 72% → 94% for the home side).
- Shot 27.2% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 10–0 | Q1 4:10 | 72% → 94% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q2 8:44 | 96% → 100% |