Montana State Bobcats 86, Northern Colorado Bears 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Northern Colorado Bears 86–79 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:55 swung win probability 78% → 39%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Colorado Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 36 | 14 | 19 | 17 | 86 |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 11 | 18 | 21 | 29 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:55 swung win probability 78% → 39%.
Why Northern Colorado Bears lost
- Lost Q1 11-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 8:38 (win probability 15% → 0% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 11–0 | Q1 5:55 | 78% → 39% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 11–0 | Q1 2:44 | 46% → 11% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 14–0 | Q2 8:38 | 15% → 0% |
| Northern Colorado Bears | 10–0 | Q2 3:18 | 0% → 3% |