Sacramento State Hornets 64, Montana Lady Griz 57
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: Sacramento State Hornets
Sacramento State Hornets defeated Montana Lady Griz 64–57 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:56 swung win probability 53% → 5%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Montana Lady Griz lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 18 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 |
| Montana Lady Griz | 15 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:56 swung win probability 53% → 5%.
Why Montana Lady Griz lost
- Lost Q3 10-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 1:56 (win probability 53% → 5% for the home side).
- Outscored 10-2 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana Lady Griz | 8–0 | Q2 5:12 | 39% → 72% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 10–0 | Q3 1:56 | 53% → 5% |
| Montana Lady Griz | 8–0 | Q4 8:42 | 5% → 40% |