Montana Lady Griz 44, Montana State Bobcats 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Montana Lady Griz 82–44 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 38-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:39 swung win probability 72% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Montana Lady Griz lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana Lady Griz | 7 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 21 | 11 | 26 | 24 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:39 swung win probability 72% → 94%.
Why Montana Lady Griz lost
- Lost Q3 11-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 5:58 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 46.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 32-14.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 10–0 | Q1 5:39 | 72% → 94% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q2 8:04 | 90% → 99% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 14–0 | Q3 5:58 | 99% → 100% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 10–0 | Q4 9:12 | 100% → 100% |