Idaho State Bengals 79, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Idaho State Bengals
Idaho State Bengals defeated Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 79–70 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:16 swung win probability 29% → 88%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals | 18 | 22 | 16 | 23 | 79 |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 24 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 2:16 swung win probability 29% → 88%.
Why Northern Arizona Lumberjacks lost
- Lost Q4 12-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 0:50 (win probability 88% → 39% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals | 12–0 | Q2 0:50 | 88% → 39% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 11–0 | Q3 2:16 | 29% → 88% |
| Idaho State Bengals | 9–0 | Q4 9:04 | 88% → 33% |
| Idaho State Bengals | 10–0 | Q4 3:25 | 56% → 0% |