Portland State Vikings 68, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks defeated Portland State Vikings 80–68 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:16 swung win probability 45% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Portland State Vikings lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland State Vikings | 18 | 15 | 21 | 14 | 68 |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 19 | 17 | 16 | 28 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:16 swung win probability 45% → 100%.
Why Portland State Vikings lost
- Lost Q4 14-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 1:16 (win probability 45% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-11.
- Outscored 19-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland State Vikings | 11–0 | Q1 5:26 | 81% → 43% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 8–0 | Q2 6:09 | 44% → 76% |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 10–0 | Q4 1:16 | 45% → 100% |