Northern Colorado Bears 41, Idaho Vandals 55
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Northern Colorado Bears 55–41 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:27 swung win probability 31% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Colorado Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Colorado Bears | 17 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 41 |
| Idaho Vandals | 13 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:27 swung win probability 31% → 100%.
Why Northern Colorado Bears lost
- Lost Q4 10-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 6:27 (win probability 31% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.1% eFG vs a 47.2% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 23-10.
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | Q3 7:38 | 33% → 69% |
| Idaho Vandals | 15–0 | Q4 6:27 | 31% → 100% |
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | Q4 3:52 | 98% → 100% |