Sacramento State Hornets 60, Idaho Vandals 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Sacramento State Hornets 75–60 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:47 swung win probability 72% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 7 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 60 |
| Idaho Vandals | 19 | 18 | 26 | 12 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:47 swung win probability 72% → 96%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost Q1 7-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 9:47 (win probability 72% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 37.1% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 11–0 | Q2 9:47 | 72% → 96% |
| Idaho Vandals | 9–0 | Q2 2:49 | 85% → 99% |
| Idaho Vandals | 10–0 | Q3 6:52 | 94% → 100% |