Montana State Bobcats 70, Idaho Vandals 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Idaho Vandals
Idaho Vandals defeated Montana State Bobcats 73–70 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 1:02 swung win probability 3% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Montana State Bobcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 11 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 70 |
| Idaho Vandals | 16 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 1:02 swung win probability 3% → 96%.
Why Montana State Bobcats lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 4:20 (win probability 56% → 83% for the home side).
- Shot 35.5% eFG vs a 46.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho Vandals | 9–0 | Q1 4:20 | 56% → 83% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 8–0 | Q4 8:36 | 85% → 45% |
| Idaho Vandals | 8–0 | OT 1:02 | 3% → 96% |