Northwestern State Lady Demons 64, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Northwestern State Lady Demons
Northwestern State Lady Demons defeated UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 64–59 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 0:00 swung win probability 88% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 15 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 64 |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 12 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at OT 0:00 swung win probability 88% → 0%.
Why UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at OT 0:00 (win probability 88% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 40.8% eFG vs a 45.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-9.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 11–0 | Q3 1:40 | 30% → 82% |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 8–0 | OT 0:00 | 88% → 0% |