UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 61, Northwestern State Lady Demons 55
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros defeated Northwestern State Lady Demons 61–55 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:26 swung win probability 92% → 57%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northwestern State Lady Demons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 13 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 61 |
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 12 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:26 swung win probability 92% → 57%.
Why Northwestern State Lady Demons lost
- Lost Q4 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 1:26 (win probability 92% → 57% for the home side).
- Shot 38.4% eFG vs a 45.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-11.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Lady Demons | 8–0 | Q2 3:28 | 56% → 86% |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 8–0 | Q3 1:26 | 92% → 57% |