Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 47, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros defeated Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 58–47 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:00 swung win probability 49% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 47 |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 11 | 11 | 19 | 17 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:00 swung win probability 49% → 90%.
Why Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders lost
- Lost Q3 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 7:00 (win probability 49% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-10.
- Outscored 15-1 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 12–0 | Q2 7:00 | 49% → 90% |
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 9–0 | Q2 1:23 | 90% → 59% |