Nicholls Colonels 66, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 56
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Nicholls Colonels
Nicholls Colonels defeated UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 66–56 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:53 swung win probability 46% → 9%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 14 | 16 | 24 | 12 | 66 |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 13 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:53 swung win probability 46% → 9%.
Why UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros lost
- Lost Q3 11-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 9:37 (win probability 3% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 34.8% eFG vs a 45.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholls Colonels | 10–0 | Q2 1:53 | 46% → 9% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 11–0 | Q4 9:37 | 3% → 0% |
| UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | 8–0 | Q4 2:59 | 0% → 0% |