Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks 86, Nicholls Colonels 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks
Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks defeated Nicholls Colonels 86–78 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:57 swung win probability 85% → 37%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nicholls Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 17 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 86 |
| Nicholls Colonels | 19 | 14 | 17 | 28 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:57 swung win probability 85% → 37%.
Why Nicholls Colonels lost
- Lost Q2 14-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 4:57 (win probability 85% → 37% for the home side).
- Shot 36.9% eFG vs a 42.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 9–0 | Q1 3:35 | 75% → 42% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 9–0 | Q1 1:06 | 42% → 76% |
| Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | 12–0 | Q2 4:57 | 85% → 37% |
| Nicholls Colonels | 8–0 | Q4 5:30 | 0% → 5% |