Incarnate Word Cardinals 79, New Orleans Privateers 68
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-18 · Winner: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals defeated New Orleans Privateers 79–68 on 2025-12-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:59 swung win probability 59% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Orleans Privateers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 18 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 79 |
| New Orleans Privateers | 7 | 29 | 16 | 16 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 8:59 swung win probability 59% → 17%.
Why New Orleans Privateers lost
- Lost Q1 7-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 8:59 (win probability 59% → 17% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q1 2:45 | 55% → 24% |
| New Orleans Privateers | 12–0 | Q2 3:13 | 7% → 45% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 9–0 | Q3 8:59 | 59% → 17% |
| New Orleans Privateers | 8–0 | Q3 3:01 | 8% → 38% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q3 0:18 | 38% → 4% |