Incarnate Word Cardinals 54, McNeese Cowgirls 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: McNeese Cowgirls
McNeese Cowgirls defeated Incarnate Word Cardinals 75–54 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:56 swung win probability 57% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 11 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 54 |
| McNeese Cowgirls | 14 | 21 | 12 | 28 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:56 swung win probability 57% → 100%.
Why Incarnate Word Cardinals lost
- Lost Q4 14-28 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q4 7:56 (win probability 57% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 31-7.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 12-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 8–0 | Q1 1:22 | 81% → 53% |
| McNeese Cowgirls | 10–0 | Q2 9:24 | 53% → 87% |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 9–0 | Q3 6:38 | 92% → 58% |
| McNeese Cowgirls | 14–0 | Q4 7:56 | 57% → 100% |