Eastern Kentucky Colonels 63, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated Eastern Kentucky Colonels 69–63 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:55 swung win probability 92% → 45%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 13 | 14 | 22 | 14 | 63 |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 24 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:55 swung win probability 92% → 45%.
Why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost
- Lost Q1 13-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 8:23 (win probability 45% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 41.3% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 20-11 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 10–0 | Q1 2:31 | 69% → 93% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 14–0 | Q2 2:55 | 92% → 45% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 12–0 | Q3 8:23 | 45% → 92% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 8–0 | Q3 4:10 | 91% → 57% |