Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 55, North Florida Ospreys 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated North Florida Ospreys 55–51 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:20 swung win probability 95% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Florida Ospreys lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 12 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 55 |
| North Florida Ospreys | 18 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:20 swung win probability 95% → 17%.
Why North Florida Ospreys lost
- Lost Q4 7-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 1:20 (win probability 95% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 14-3 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 8–0 | Q1 2:35 | 54% → 81% |
| North Florida Ospreys | 8–0 | Q2 7:09 | 79% → 96% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 8–0 | Q4 1:20 | 95% → 17% |