Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 60, Eastern Kentucky Colonels 48
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears defeated Eastern Kentucky Colonels 60–48 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:19 swung win probability 58% → 24%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 15 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 60 |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 8 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 48 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 3:19 swung win probability 58% → 24%.
Why Eastern Kentucky Colonels lost
- Lost Q2 8-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 3:19 (win probability 58% → 24% for the home side).
- Shot 32.2% eFG vs a 48.2% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 9–0 | Q1 3:19 | 58% → 24% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q2 6:50 | 32% → 8% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q2 2:25 | 8% → 1% |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 10–0 | Q3 7:44 | 1% → 7% |