Bellarmine Knights 40, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated Bellarmine Knights 79–40 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 39-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:11 swung win probability 69% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Bellarmine Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | 17 | 0 | 12 | 11 | 40 |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 21 | 13 | 20 | 25 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:11 swung win probability 69% → 99%.
Why Bellarmine Knights lost
- Lost Q4 11-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 2:11 (win probability 69% → 99% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | 8–0 | Q1 5:02 | 88% → 65% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 15–0 | Q2 2:11 | 69% → 99% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 12–0 | Q3 1:06 | 99% → 100% |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 9–0 | Q4 6:24 | 100% → 100% |