North Florida Ospreys 69, Austin Peay Governors 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: North Florida Ospreys
North Florida Ospreys defeated Austin Peay Governors 69–66 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:50 swung win probability 6% → 63%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Austin Peay Governors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 21 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 69 |
| Austin Peay Governors | 6 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:50 swung win probability 6% → 63%.
Why Austin Peay Governors lost
- Lost Q1 6-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q2 9:16 (win probability 62% → 6% for the home side).
- Shot 43.2% eFG vs a 47.4% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Florida Ospreys | 17–0 | Q2 9:16 | 62% → 6% |
| Austin Peay Governors | 14–0 | Q3 6:49 | 1% → 31% |
| Austin Peay Governors | 11–0 | Q3 0:50 | 6% → 63% |