Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 63, Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 52
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 63–52 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:04 swung win probability 72% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 18 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 63 |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 18 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 52 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:04 swung win probability 72% → 27%.
Why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost
- Lost Q2 5-11 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 3:04 (win probability 72% → 27% for the home side).
- Shot 37.9% eFG vs a 47.0% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 10–0 | Q2 3:04 | 72% → 27% |