North Alabama Lions 48, Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-09 · Winner: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears defeated North Alabama Lions 59–48 on 2026-02-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:45 swung win probability 34% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Alabama Lions lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Alabama Lions | 15 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 48 |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 18 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 0:45 swung win probability 34% → 72%.
Why North Alabama Lions lost
- Lost Q4 10-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 0:45 (win probability 34% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 45.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 16-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 10–0 | Q1 0:45 | 34% → 72% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q4 4:15 | 92% → 100% |