Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 79, North Florida Ospreys 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears defeated North Florida Ospreys 79–72 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q2 9:01 swung win probability 69% → 18%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Florida Ospreys lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 23 | 20 | 12 | 24 | 79 |
| North Florida Ospreys | 18 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q2 9:01 swung win probability 69% → 18%.
Why North Florida Ospreys lost
- Lost Q2 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 9:01 (win probability 69% → 18% for the home side).
- Shot 40.1% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q1 4:28 | 78% → 50% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 13–0 | Q2 9:01 | 69% → 18% |