North Alabama Lions 56, North Florida Ospreys 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: North Alabama Lions
North Alabama Lions defeated North Florida Ospreys 56–54 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:26 swung win probability 7% → 65%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why North Florida Ospreys lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Alabama Lions | 19 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 56 |
| North Florida Ospreys | 12 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:26 swung win probability 7% → 65%.
Why North Florida Ospreys lost
- Lost Q1 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 1:17 (win probability 65% → 33% for the home side).
- Shot 31.9% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Alabama Lions | 8–0 | Q1 1:17 | 65% → 33% |
| North Florida Ospreys | 11–0 | Q2 5:35 | 33% → 76% |
| North Florida Ospreys | 8–0 | Q4 4:26 | 7% → 65% |