Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 86, Jacksonville Dolphins 96
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Jacksonville Dolphins
Jacksonville Dolphins defeated Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 96–86 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:36 swung win probability 46% → 8%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 16 | 24 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 86 |
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 18 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 96 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:36 swung win probability 46% → 8%.
Why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost
- Lost Q5 8-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 6:03 (win probability 53% → 83% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-18.
- Outscored 39-21 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Dolphins | 10–0 | Q1 6:03 | 53% → 83% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q4 8:36 | 46% → 8% |