Bellarmine Knights 29, Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Central Arkansas Sugar Bears
Central Arkansas Sugar Bears defeated Bellarmine Knights 85–29 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 56-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:13 swung win probability 48% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Bellarmine Knights lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellarmine Knights | 7 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 29 |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 20 | 23 | 24 | 18 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:13 swung win probability 48% → 81%.
Why Bellarmine Knights lost
- Lost Q2 4-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 20-0 run ending at Q2 6:27 (win probability 72% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 22.8% eFG vs a 36.4% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-9.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 10–0 | Q1 6:13 | 48% → 81% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 20–0 | Q2 6:27 | 72% → 100% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 13–0 | Q3 9:04 | 100% → 100% |
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 8–0 | Q3 6:40 | 100% → 100% |