Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 51, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles defeated Central Arkansas Sugar Bears 64–51 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:18 swung win probability 93% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Arkansas Sugar Bears | 10 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 51 |
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 15 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:18 swung win probability 93% → 100%.
Why Central Arkansas Sugar Bears lost
- Lost Q2 10-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 7:18 (win probability 93% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.5% eFG vs a 47.0% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | 9–0 | Q3 7:18 | 93% → 100% |