Mississippi State Bulldogs 64, Texas A&M Aggies 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs 68–64 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:14 swung win probability 64% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 12 | 13 | 21 | 18 | 64 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 12 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:14 swung win probability 64% → 10%.
Why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q4 18-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q1 5:22 (win probability 66% → 88% for the home side).
- Shot 39.6% eFG vs a 48.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M Aggies | 8–0 | Q1 5:22 | 66% → 88% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 13–0 | Q2 7:25 | 86% → 39% |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 8–0 | Q2 2:53 | 30% → 64% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q3 2:14 | 64% → 10% |