Mississippi State Bulldogs 75, Arkansas Razorbacks 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-16 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Arkansas Razorbacks 75–66 on 2026-02-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:44 swung win probability 55% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Arkansas Razorbacks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 75 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 10 | 14 | 22 | 20 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:44 swung win probability 55% → 17%.
Why Arkansas Razorbacks lost
- Lost Q1 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 5:44 (win probability 55% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 38.6% eFG vs a 44.2% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 11–0 | Q1 5:44 | 55% → 17% |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 8–0 | Q2 8:56 | 13% → 35% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q2 5:29 | 31% → 7% |