Vanderbilt Commodores 84, Kentucky Wildcats 83
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores defeated Kentucky Wildcats 84–83 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:44 swung win probability 89% → 33%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kentucky Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 19 | 15 | 20 | 30 | 84 |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 16 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 83 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 8:44 swung win probability 89% → 33%.
Why Kentucky Wildcats lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 8:44 (win probability 89% → 33% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-6.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 10–0 | Q2 1:02 | 29% → 73% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 9–0 | Q3 5:10 | 42% → 86% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | Q4 8:44 | 89% → 33% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 8–0 | Q4 3:35 | 2% → 30% |