Mississippi State Bulldogs 77, Tennessee Lady Volunteers 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Tennessee Lady Volunteers 77–62 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:03 swung win probability 59% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Tennessee Lady Volunteers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9 | 26 | 24 | 18 | 77 |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 12 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:03 swung win probability 59% → 17%.
Why Tennessee Lady Volunteers lost
- Lost Q2 14-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 1:03 (win probability 59% → 17% for the home side).
- Shot 34.8% eFG vs a 47.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q2 1:03 | 59% → 17% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q3 2:44 | 6% → 0% |