Mississippi State Bulldogs 78, Alabama Crimson Tide 85
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-25 · Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs 85–78 on 2026-01-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:58 swung win probability 54% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14 | 17 | 29 | 18 | 78 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 15 | 20 | 21 | 29 | 85 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:58 swung win probability 54% → 100%.
Why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q4 18-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 3:42 (win probability 52% → 92% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 9–0 | Q3 3:42 | 52% → 92% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | Q4 2:58 | 54% → 100% |