Kentucky Wildcats 59, Mississippi State Bulldogs 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-18 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Kentucky Wildcats 71–59 on 2026-01-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:55 swung win probability 40% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kentucky Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 13 | 20 | 11 | 15 | 59 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 18 | 12 | 18 | 23 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:55 swung win probability 40% → 89%.
Why Kentucky Wildcats lost
- Lost Q4 15-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 5:52 (win probability 83% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 35.4% eFG vs a 51.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 14–0 | Q2 3:26 | 93% → 45% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q3 0:55 | 40% → 89% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q4 5:52 | 83% → 100% |