Vanderbilt Commodores 89, Mississippi State Bulldogs 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs 89–84 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:27 swung win probability 36% → 1%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 20 | 16 | 30 | 23 | 89 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 16 | 19 | 20 | 29 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:27 swung win probability 36% → 1%.
Why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q3 20-30 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 9:27 (win probability 36% → 1% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 10–0 | Q4 9:27 | 36% → 1% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q4 4:21 | 0% → 14% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 8–0 | Q4 2:14 | 14% → 0% |