Kentucky Wildcats 51, Alabama Crimson Tide 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Kentucky Wildcats 64–51 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:29 swung win probability 66% → 28%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kentucky Wildcats lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 16 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 51 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 15 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:29 swung win probability 66% → 28%.
Why Kentucky Wildcats lost
- Lost Q3 9-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 8:48 (win probability 96% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.0% eFG vs a 51.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 10–0 | Q1 4:29 | 66% → 28% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 10–0 | Q1 1:48 | 28% → 65% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | Q2 6:32 | 44% → 76% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 9–0 | Q2 1:34 | 64% → 93% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 11–0 | Q4 8:48 | 96% → 100% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 10–0 | Q4 0:53 | 100% → 100% |