Missouri Tigers 68, Vanderbilt Commodores 99
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores defeated Missouri Tigers 99–68 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:23 swung win probability 55% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Missouri Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri Tigers | 23 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 68 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 27 | 21 | 20 | 31 | 99 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:23 swung win probability 55% → 89%.
Why Missouri Tigers lost
- Lost Q4 15-31 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 3:36 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 24-14.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | Q2 1:23 | 55% → 89% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | Q3 7:40 | 84% → 99% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 9–0 | Q4 8:29 | 99% → 100% |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 15–0 | Q4 3:36 | 100% → 100% |