Tennessee Lady Volunteers 90, Mississippi State Bulldogs 80
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Tennessee Lady Volunteers
Tennessee Lady Volunteers defeated Mississippi State Bulldogs 90–80 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:29 swung win probability 65% → 29%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 26 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 90 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 19 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 80 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q1 1:29 swung win probability 65% → 29%.
Why Mississippi State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q1 19-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 5:31 (win probability 43% → 9% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 9–0 | Q1 1:29 | 65% → 29% |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 10–0 | Q2 5:31 | 43% → 9% |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q4 8:21 | 2% → 19% |