Kentucky Wildcats 80, LSU Tigers 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats defeated LSU Tigers 80–78 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:18 swung win probability 95% → 17%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why LSU Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Wildcats | 22 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 80 |
| LSU Tigers | 23 | 18 | 24 | 13 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:18 swung win probability 95% → 17%.
Why LSU Tigers lost
- Lost Q4 13-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 1:48 (win probability 93% → 57% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Tigers | 9–0 | Q1 6:04 | 72% → 93% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 13–0 | Q1 1:48 | 93% → 57% |
| LSU Tigers | 9–0 | Q2 4:57 | 39% → 76% |
| LSU Tigers | 10–0 | Q3 3:11 | 52% → 95% |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 8–0 | Q4 1:18 | 95% → 17% |