UNC Wilmington Seahawks 34, North Carolina Tar Heels 84
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina Tar Heels defeated UNC Wilmington Seahawks 84–34 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 50-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:24 swung win probability 58% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Wilmington Seahawks | 12 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 34 |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 27 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:24 swung win probability 58% → 90%.
Why UNC Wilmington Seahawks lost
- Lost Q1 12-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 2:15 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 25.9% eFG vs a 44.3% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 22-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 11–0 | Q1 4:24 | 58% → 90% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 11–0 | Q2 4:24 | 98% → 100% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 11–0 | Q3 1:24 | 100% → 100% |
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 15–0 | Q4 2:15 | 100% → 100% |