Florida Gators 65, Tennessee Lady Volunteers 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Tennessee Lady Volunteers
Tennessee Lady Volunteers defeated Florida Gators 76–65 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:41 swung win probability 32% → 85%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Florida Gators lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators | 12 | 18 | 22 | 13 | 65 |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 22 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 1:41 swung win probability 32% → 85%.
Why Florida Gators lost
- Lost Q1 12-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 8:26 (win probability 76% → 98% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 20-5.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 13–0 | Q2 8:26 | 76% → 98% |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 9–0 | Q3 1:41 | 32% → 85% |
| Tennessee Lady Volunteers | 8–0 | Q4 2:42 | 87% → 100% |