Auburn Tigers 53, Mississippi State Bulldogs 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Mississippi State Bulldogs
Mississippi State Bulldogs defeated Auburn Tigers 75–53 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:58 swung win probability 100% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Auburn Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Tigers | 7 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 53 |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 14 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 2:58 swung win probability 100% → 100%.
Why Auburn Tigers lost
- Lost Q4 14-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 2:58 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.0% eFG vs a 42.5% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 12–0 | Q4 2:58 | 100% → 100% |