Little Rock Trojans 73, Western Illinois Leathernecks 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Western Illinois Leathernecks
Western Illinois Leathernecks defeated Little Rock Trojans 84–73 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:16 swung win probability 42% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Little Rock Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little Rock Trojans | 13 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 73 |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 24 | 22 | 9 | 29 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:16 swung win probability 42% → 98%.
Why Little Rock Trojans lost
- Lost Q4 16-29 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 9:41 (win probability 69% → 95% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-4.
- Outscored 24-5 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 11–0 | Q2 9:41 | 69% → 95% |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 9–0 | Q2 3:55 | 72% → 95% |
| Little Rock Trojans | 12–0 | Q3 2:28 | 98% → 63% |
| Western Illinois Leathernecks | 11–0 | Q4 7:16 | 42% → 98% |